Provided by James R. Martin, Ph.D., CMA
Professor Emeritus, University of South Florida
Capital
Markets Main Page | Economics
Related Main Page
Many people believe they have a way to predict the stock market. Most of the indicators in the table below are discussed in a book by Constable and Wright.1
Economic Indicators or Measurements and Some Related Links:
Automobile Sales - Wall Street Journal Auto Sales
Baltic Dry Index - Wikipedia definition and Bloomberg
Beige Book - FRB Beige Book and Investopedia
Big Mac Index - The Economist Burgernomics
Book-to-Bill Ratio - Investopedia Definition
Box-office Receipts - Box Office Mojo
Business Outlook - Investopedia
CBOE Volatility Index - Wikipedia definition and Yahoo Finance
CEO Confidence - The Confidence Board
Chain Store Sales, Retail Sales - Investopedia
Consumer Price Index - Bureau of Labor Statistics and Khan Academy Video
Consumer Confidence Survey - The Conference Board
Consumer Sentiment - Federal Reserve Bank of St.Louis
Cooper Price - National Association of Realtors
Crack Spread - Wikipedia definition and Bloomberg
Credit Availability Oscillator - A measure of how easy or difficult it is to borrow money - eHow Money
Credit Spreads: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates - Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Current Account Deficit - Investopedia definition and Bureau of Economic Analysis
Durable Goods Orders - U.S. Census Bureau and Investopedia
Economic Bubble Indicators, e.g., Income growth vs. Housing price growth, and Home prices adjusted for inflation illustrate the real estate bubble - Aftershock
Employment Trends Index - The Conference Board
Existing Home Sales - National Association of Realtors and Investopedia
Federal Funds Rate - Wikipedia definition and Bankrate.com
Federal Government Budget Deficits and the National Debt - U.S. Debt Clock
Fertility Rates - The World Bank
GAO Fiscal year 2010 Financial Report of the United States Government - GAO U.S. Government Accountability Office
GDP Deflator - Federal Reserve Bank of St.Louis
Global Business Cycle Indicators - The Conference Board
Global Economic Conditions Survey Report: Q4 2011 - IMA PDF - "Overall the stage appears to be set for a renewed global economic downturn in 2012 and most respondents to the [...survey] certainly believe this to be the case."
Gold Price - GoldPrice.Org
Help Wanted OnLine - The Conference Board
Housing Permits and Starts - Investopedia
Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization - Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Institute for Supply Management Manufacturing Survey - Institute of Supply Management
Institute for Supply Management Non-Manufacturing Survey - Institute of Supply Management
JOC-ECRI Industrial Price Index - Bloomberg
Libor - London Interbank Offered Rates - Wikipedia definition and Libor Rate History
London Metal Exchange Inventories - Investment Tools.Com
M2 Money Supply - Federal Reserve Bank of St.Louis
Net Exports - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
New Home Sales - U.S. Census Bureau
NFIB Confidence Survey - NFIB or National Federation of Independent Business
Personal Savings Rate - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Philadelphia Fed: The Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Business Conditions Index - Philadelphia Fed
Philadelphia Fed: Business Outlook Survey - Philadelphia Fed
Presidential Approval Rating - Gallup and Rasmussen
Producer Price Index - Bureau of Labor Statistics
Productivity Report - Investopedia
Oil Inventories - Bloomberg
Real Interest Rates - Investopedia definition and The World Bank
Retail Investment Activity - Investing Answers
Russell 2000 - Russell Investments and CNNMoney
Short Interest - Investopedia definition and Shortsqueeze.com
Survey of Economists - CNNMoney and Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Tankan Survey and Investopedia definition
Ted Spread - Wikipedia - The difference between the interest rates on interbank loans and on short-term U.S. government debt ("T-bills")
Texas "Zombie Bank" Ratio - Wikipedia definition and Amateur-Investor.net
Tic Data - U.S. Department of The Treasury
TIPS Spread (Monitors inflation) - Learning Markets
Trade Balance Report - Investopedia
Underemployment or Slack Investment - Economic Policy Institute
Unemployment rate - and definitions of U3, U4, U5, and U6 - Bureau of Labor Statistics, Wikipedia and Khan Academy Video
Unit Labor Costs Government - OECD and OECD.StatExtracts
Vixen Index - Chapter 50 of Constable and Wright's Book. See footnote 1.
Yield Curve - Wikipedia definition and Federal Reserve Bank of New York
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1 Constable, S. and R. E. Wright. 2011. The Wall Street Journal Guide to 50 Economic Indicators That Really Matter: From Big Macs to "Zombie Banks", the Indicators Smart Investors Watch to Beat the Market. Harper Business. (Contents).
2 Wiedemer, D., R. A. Wiedemer and C. Spitzer. 2011. Aftershock: Protecting Yourself and Profit in the Next Global Financial Meltdown, Second Edition. Wiley. These authors discuss six economic bubbles: The real estate bubble, the stock market bubble, the private debt bubble, the discretionary spending bubble, the dollar bubble, and the government debt bubble. Their analysis indicates that these bubbles are not going to re-inflate. (Book Review).